Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South State = VA
Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6790924 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 98.2) 6-18 218 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (17- 4, 93.9) 8-16 225 H VCU Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 87.2) 15- 3 228 A Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 93.2) 4-18 308 H James Madison Colonial (19- 3, 96.7) 5-13 314 A Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 4-13, 87.4) 13- 7 319 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 96.4) 8-19 323 H Winthrop Big South ( 4-12, 79.4) 22- 7 325 H Furman Big South (10- 8, 85.1) 19- 6 401 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (12- 8, 91.2) 12-10 406 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 88.5) 17-14 408 A Queens Womens NCAA D (10- 8, 86.5) 14- 5 412 H Florida American (17- 4, 95.9) 7-16 415 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 8- 9, 82.1) 26- 6 420 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 80.3) 19- 5 422 H Lindenwood Womens NCAA D ( 8-10, 80.2) 22- 8 429 A Delaware State Atlantic Sun ( 2-14, 75.0) 20- 5 504 H Queens Womens NCAA D (10- 8, 86.5) 21- 8 506 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (12- 8, 91.2) 13-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A North Carolina 6-18 -12 -8 0.00 218 A Richmond 8-16 -8 -4 - -2.97 225 H VCU 15- 3 12 4 + 2.56 228 A Duke 4-18 -14 -3 - -3.63 308 H James Madison 5-13 -8 -5 -1.89 314 A Pittsburgh 13- 7 6 2 + 3.53 319 A Notre Dame 8-19 -11 -6 -0.48 323 H Winthrop 22- 7 15 12 0.00 325 H Furman 19- 6 13 6 0.46 401 A Jacksonville 12-10 2 -1 + 3.28 406 A Coastal Carolina 17-14 3 1 1.59 408 A Queens 14- 5 9 3 n/a 412 H Florida 7-16 -9 -4 - -2.72 415 H Stetson 26- 6 20 9 0.00 420 H Kennesaw State 19- 5 14 11 0.00 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 14 11 n/a 429 A Delaware State 20- 5 15 14 0.00 504 H Queens 21- 8 13 5 n/a 506 A Jacksonville 13-14 -1 -1 0.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Queens 14- 5 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8 408 A Queens 14- 5 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8 218 A Richmond 8-16 -8 -4 - -2.97 228 A Duke 4-18 -14 -3 - -3.63 408 A Queens 14- 5 412 H Florida 7-16 -9 -4 - -2.72 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Queens 14- 5 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8 408 A Queens 14- 5 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8 225 H VCU 15- 3 12 4 + 2.56 314 A Pittsburgh 13- 7 6 2 + 3.53 401 A Jacksonville 12-10 2 -1 + 3.28 408 A Queens 14- 5 422 H Lindenwood 22- 8 504 H Queens 21- 8
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.76 Power Rank................. 39 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.22 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 51 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6299 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 30 RPI Rating............... .5363 RPI Rank................... 38 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 59 Selection sum ........... 104 Selection Rank ............ 34 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 34 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 36 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 9.0